After Google bought up a number of the largest robotics companies in the USA, and a number of startups in this area indicate a surge in interest in robotics from global corporations and the beginning of the massive acquisition of startups working in this area. Judging by this set of purchases, Google set its sights on the personal robotics market and, in addition, acquired not even startups, but teams.
In many countries, the field of robotics is booming. Unfortunately, there are very few real robots ready for sale. More and more mechanical toys have little to do with robots.
According to forecasts of a number of agencies, by 2035 in the United States there will be from 7 to 8 robots per inhabitant. That is, in the USA in 20 years there will be at least 2 billion robots. That is, the market for robots significantly exceeds the market for televisions, phones, computers, and even cars combined ...
Naturally, this does not mean that all these robots will run through your kitchen to death, scaring your dog. Robots will do dirty, routine and hard work. Cleaning streets and houses, collecting and washing dishes, home care, washing, garbage collection, delivery of orders from stores, placing goods on shelves in stores, automatic 24-hour restaurants and much, much more.
In agriculture and manufacturing, the main work will be done by robots. And people will only control the process and carry out tuning and repair of robots. Rescue from fires, earthquakes and floods will be trusted by robots. Robots will be able to provide first aid and care for sick and infirm people. The robots will be entrusted with border protection, street patrolling and much more. In advanced armies, most soldiers will be replaced by robots. More precisely, soldiers will now command robotic formations ...
The first to fly to the moon and Mars are robots to create infrastructure for receiving people.
A huge trillion-dollar industry appears before our eyes. This industry will create tens of millions of jobs in the design, manufacture, sale and maintenance of robots.
But back to today. If you draw an analogy with computers, then today it is approximately the same as 1975 for computers. Future billionaires from robotics are now 15 to 18 years old, they are sitting in garages and constructing their first robots. Companies that in 10 to 15 years will be the flagships of the American robot industry today are just being created.
What is so cute and familiar in computers (components, operating systems, drivers, etc.) is just being created for robots. There are android (humanoid) and non-android robots. Android robots are unified to work with all equipment designed for humans. Non-android robots are specialized robots that do not require a movement system like a human.
Now there are no operating systems for robots, unified blocks of robots that could be put in place and they would automatically connect to the system (driver and Plug and Play systems), there is no unified system of motion sensors, tactile sensors, a unified computer vision system, and there is no control system by the movement of the robot (both android and non-android type), there are no artificial intelligence systems with basic functions and the ability to learn, there is no single energy distribution system to all nodes of the robot motors and mechanisms.
And the main problem today is the lack of powerful and durable power sources. Now the best android robot can independently move a maximum of 20 - 25 minutes ...
In fact, the list of what today is not possible to continue another page for 10 - 15 ...
Why are we listing all this? Yes, everything is very simple. If robots themselves will produce dozens, maybe hundreds of companies, then components for these robots will produce tens and hundreds of thousands of companies. Each of the above items is a multi - billion-dollar business.
In the near future, tens of thousands of companies will be created that will solve all these problems ...
It should be noted that robots, in complexity, are about 100 times more complicated than computers. Computers today are fairly unified. But tens of thousands of companies are involved in components for computers that produce millions of names of different components. From electronics to software. It is not difficult to calculate that there will be 2 orders of magnitude more components for different robots ...
The company that developed each successful element for robots will have multi - million-dollar sales of its product. And sales of companies that have developed a successful unit for use in robots (a motion unit, a control unit, a navigation unit, etc.) will have sales of hundreds of millions of dollars or maybe billions.
That is, the opportunities offered by the nascent robot industry are truly endless.
But unfortunately, so far there are very few specialists who are versed in robotics and understand these prospects. And even fewer financiers (although in the USA there are already more than in the IT and Internet industries) who understand that robotic companies are like IT and Internet companies 10-15-20 years ago, but with much higher financial potential. Indeed, the robot industry will be tens and hundreds of times larger than the IT and Internet industries.
Nobody needs the new 101st social networks, search engines, additional Instagram’s, small new eBay, AliExpress and new Amazons. This is all already created for you, and those who did it first collected the bulk of the money. Investors understand this well and will not give money for it. But robotics today presents you with a unique chance to become the first in creating an entire industry and possibly occupy your very large niche.
But perhaps you need a new Internet, and new search engines and new Amazons, but already for robots. Moreover, the traffic in them will be an order of magnitude more than the traffic of people. Perhaps even social networks for artificial intelligence will appear ...
One of the very big problems that robotic companies face is the training of robots. The problem is that the robot is not a mechanical toy and will not work simply by turning it on. The robot needs to be trained or programmed, which becomes harder and harder with the increasing complexity of robots. It turns out that you need to train each robot and create systems how to generalize and copy this training to other robots, so as not to train each robot individually. In fact, systems for generalizing collective experience. That is, there are generally new directions and industries which simply did not exist before. And you can be pioneers here.
Do you think all this is fantastic? Nothing of the kind. Why, for example, should the robots themselves not order the necessary spare parts for themselves and automatically update their software. When our computers do this, it does not surprise anyone.
Demand for robots in the United States and around the world is huge. We declare with all responsibility that we can sell almost any robot in the United States in unlimited volumes.
Now let's discuss what “any robot” means. There are a number of market requirements without which we cannot sell anything at all.
1. The robot must be professionally made, have a good design and be safe for customers. Any fakes like "locksmith self-made" with wires and microcircuits sticking out in all directions, in principle, cannot and will not be sold.
2. Robots must be reliable (at least six months of testing), easy to manage and repair (it is best to have an easily replaceable block structure). No one in the US will buy a robot without a guarantee. But if your robots are brought to us for repair every 2 days, then your company will go bankrupt very quickly. You can’t take more than the robot itself as a guarantee.
3. Robots must carry functionality that is understandable to the client. A robot must automate a process that a person cannot or does not want to perform independently. It does not matter what level of complexity of the processes and their number must be performed by the robot. Whether it is an industrial robot, a warehouse robot or a toy robot, the client should be able to independently program this robot without restrictions in its further modernization.